The Swedish Society for Risk Sciences (Riskkollegiet) arrange seminars and workshops (usually in Swedish) on different places in Sweden. The most recent one was in Uppsala on the 4th of December.
Föreläsningarna filmades och ligger nu på vår youtube-kanal
Alla med intresse för risk- och säkerhetsfrågor inbjuds nu att nominera kandidater till 2020 års pris ”The Swedish Risk Academy Award to a Young Researcher”
Riskkollegiet är en ideell förening vars syfte är att öka kunskapen om risker i samhället, och om hur risker uppfattas och hanteras i olika sammanhang. I enlighet med sitt syfte delar Riskkollegiet årligen ut ett pris för att hedra och uppmärksamma personer som genom sin forskning bidrar till att öka kunskapen om risker.
Nu utlyses 2020 års pris, The Swedish Risk Academy Award to a Young Researcher. Det ska gå till en yngre forskare vars forskning har relevans för Riskkollegiets syfte och vilken i sin forskning visat god initiativförmåga, engagemang och vetenskaplig mognad. Forskaren skall vara doktorand eller nydisputerad forskare (disputation 2018 eller 2019 i Sverige).
Nomineringen skall innehålla:
Skicka din nominering till Riskkollegiet vi följande formulär bit.ly/2QLK1Yo senast den 17 december 2019. Styrelsens beslut om pristagare kommer att beredas av Riskkollegiets vetenskapliga råd.
Priset delas ut på Riskkollegiets årsmöte och består av en plakett jämte ett stipendium om 8 000 kr. I samband med prisutdelningen förväntas pristagaren ge en presentation av sin forskning.
Eventuella frågor om priset och nomineringsprocessen kan ställas till Ullrika Sahlin, ordförande i Riskkollegiets styrelse, e-post: Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se.
Riskkollegiet bjuder in till en förmiddag om risk den 4 december i Uppsala. Det är ett tillfälle att bekanta sig med olika sätt att se på risk.
The uncertainty and evidence lab was part of the organizing team behind a Software Carpentry workshop on shell, git and tidyverse in R. Thanks to Dmytro, Hadrien and Joachim for tutoring us.
I gave a talk about Bayesian analysis of risk and uncertainty at the Nordic Chapter of SRA meeting in Copenhagen on Nov 7th. Despite having only 15 minutes, I Think I got the message clear. Bayesian analysis is the way to quantify epistemic uncertainty by probability, it is to my knowlege the only principle to integrate data and expert judgement and it this has been known for a long time. Bayesian analysis is not used as often as it could, and the most obvious reason for that is that we, the assessors, are not familiar enough with Bayesian analysis.
The slides from my talk are here Sahlin_NordicChapterSRA2019
A version of our show about uncertainty is available online. The show takes about 30 minutes and targets kids from 8 and upwards. It is currently in Swedish.
The Evidence Synthesis seminar is organised by the strategic research area BECC.
7 November 9.30 – 12. Medical Ethics, Lund University. This seminar was organised together with the program Science and proven experience (VBE).
Background: Epistemic uncertainty is an important component of scientific evidence. This is clearly demonstrated in practically every publication on risk assessment published in recent years as well as in discussions generally on what scientific evidence one needs in order to make practical decisions. At the same time the question of what scientific uncertainty is, or what comprises scientific uncertainty, is not settled.
In order to treat uncertainties in a systematic manner one needs models representing this uncertainty.
The purpose of this seminar is to discuss models for identifying and managing epistemic uncertainty.
Format: Short talks on the topic using the recent paper by van der Bles et al on “Communicating uncertainty in facts, numbers and science” as a starting point.
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.181870
They provide a model for epistemic uncertainty distinguishing between direct and indirect uncertainty. The purpose of the seminar is to test this model from a theoretical point of view and from practice. Participants are encouraged to comment on the paper and contribute with perspectives on a scientific perspective on epistemic uncertainty or examples from practice.
This seminar is the second part of a seminar series on Evidence Synthesis organised by BECC. The seminar is held within a master course and consists of a lecture by Ullrika Sahlin followed by a practical exercise.
Sign up to the seminar on the 18th of November by sending a mail to Ullrika. Note that the number of places are limited.
9 – 12 Lecture Biosfären (Sal 220), Geocentrum II
This lecture begins with an overview of the history of evidence-based decision making and how it is organised. We will study how evidence is characterised and rated according to different guidance documents for evidence based decision making. I will then introduce the method of meta-analysis, ranging from simple to complex multi-parameter analyses. Finally, I will talk about what different frameworks say about the communication of conclusions from a synthesis.
13 – 17 Exercise Altocumulus (Sal 215), Geocentrum II
This will be a practical exercise on meta-analysis and meta-regression. The exercise start with a recapitulation of the mixed linear models, common type of response variables and graphs used in meta-analysis. The exercises are done in R. Bring your own laptop with R installed.
Early 2020 TBA
This year we have two activities at Lund Future week focusing on how to deal with the fact that the future is uncertain.
Tuesday (Oct 15)
Ullrika will together with Åsa Knaggård (political science) give a crash course on how to make decisions under uncertainty at the public library (in Swedish). https://www.lu.se/event/och-en-osaker-framtid-ar-var
The presentation of our lecture is here Och en osäker framtid är vår Sahlin Knaggård
Saturday and Sunday (Oct 19-20)
Ullrika and Rasmus Bååth will give the show “Bli mästare i osäkerhet” (Become a master of uncertainty) at Vattenhallen Science Center. Watch the show on Youtube https://youtu.be/48x7faZem1U
13 and 15 on Saturday
13 on Sunday
Vi gjorde experiment som förklarar lärande och beslut under osäkerhet för gymnasieelever och besökande under ForskarFredag den 28e och 29e september på Vattenhallen i Lund.
On August 22nd I (Ullrika) arranged together with Linda Kvarnlöf and Per Strömsjö a one day meeting about teaching risk. We named this meeting RISKUT as in risk utbildning (risk education). It was very stimulating and fun to meet people passionate about teaching risk both from within and outside academia.
The meeting was supported by the Swedish Society for risk sciences Riskkollegiet and the program is available here
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