Author Archives: host

UnEviL research group meeting: networks on networks

The Uncertainty and Evidence Lab was today hosted by PhD student Johanna Haussler who gave a talk on Networks on networks: modelling complex food webs on spatial networks Biotic networks are rarely considered within a spatial context, this applies particularly to complex multitrophic communities, i.e. food webs. In my talk, I will present a novel modelling approach me and my … Continue reading

UnEviL research group 0

Finns det någon nytta med att vara osäker

Detta är en fråga som jag ställde på Dalby bibliotek som en del i Lunds universitets forskarturné hösten 2018. De drygt 20 åskådarna fick utstå att gissa, uttrycka deras osäkerhet och testa huruvida de har övertro i sina gissningar. Syftet med dessa övningar var att illustrera olika typer av osäkerhet och olika sätt att beskriva dem. Jag tog upp att … Continue reading

risk concept/uncertainty/UnEviL research group 0

Tutorial on quantifying epistemic uncertainty by probability

This is a 3 hour tutorial where I (Ullrika Sahlin) talk about why quantification of epistemic uncertainty by probability is important and useful to master. I present two methods – Expert Knowledge Eliciation and Bayesian Analysis. We will go through hands on examples on quantifying uncertainty in assessment inputs as well as in assessment output. All examples will be done … Continue reading

risk concept/teaching/uncertainty 0

Are you uncertain?

This is a question we asked many times last Saturday when the Uncertainty Show was given for the first time. The show relies on people coming up on stage trying to be uncertain. They compete against a computer, theory or others. A lot of people tried our computer games about uncertainty. Ivette, Maria, Ullrika and Rasmus – happy after making … Continue reading

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Open PhD position in decision theory and environmental management

The research Group Uncertainty and Evidence Lab at the Centre of Environmental and Climate Research are looking for a suitable candidate for a new PhD position. The aim of the PhD project will to study the importance of uncertainty in environmental management. This includes the treatment of uncertainty into scientific assessments and considering in what way decision makers respond to … Continue reading

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Premiere of the mini-show “The art of being uncertain” at Lund University Science Festival 15th of sept 2018

The art of being uncertain is the name of our new mini-show, which has its premiere on September the 15th at the Lund University Science Festival. PLACE: ASTRONOMIHUSET, SÖLVEGATAN 27 11.00–17:00 Through games and challenges, you will learn more about different ways to express uncertainty and how uncertainty influences us as human beings. This is an attempt to reach out … Continue reading

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4th Nordic Chapter Risk conference in Norway Nov 8-9

Exploring the risk, safety, security and resilience nexus Risk, safety, security and resilience analysis and management are founded on similar ideas and perspectives: avoiding or reducing the negative consequences of hazardous events and threats, exploring system weaknesses, and identifying policies and actions to mitigate or resolve such weaknesses. However, current research and practices in these areas are to a large extent … Continue reading

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Opportunities to dive into uncertainty

Uncertainty is more important than ever. Not only are problems of today more complex and urgent, but there is also a need to combine different types of knowledge and weight things together. In order to give scientific advice we must train our ability to state what we dont know. The uncertainty and evidence lab are working on taking these type … Continue reading

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Working from home

We are approaching the time of the year to writing applications for the Swedish research councils VR and FORMAS. We all have our tricks to get the opportunity to focus and bring those ideas on a piece of paper (literary). Today I skip commuting and I work from home. Started with a nice walk after leaving my son at the … Continue reading

research life 0

Reflections on stakeholder interaction

Today I gave a talk at the CEC Fellows meeting on Lessons learnt from interacting with stakeholders. I shared reflections on three interactions I have been involved with: Honey bees: bee health, pesticides and pollination Invasive species: risk assessment and signal crayfish Uncertainty in scientific assessments: understand and quantify! The slides of my talk are found here: Sahlin_Lessons learnt from interacting … Continue reading

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