Author Archives: host

Bayesian talk on how to use computers to analyse data – REACH Meeting

Ullrika gave a talk on Bayesian Inference at the upcoming REACH  Discussion Meeting on 27 October in Lund Link to the talk and some files are here: https://github.com/Ullrika/BayesianInference My talk followed directly after a talk about Machine Learning which is a very nice

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Quantifying uncertainty integrating expert judgement and data – tutorial

Ullrika travelled all the way to Liverpool to give a tutorial at the BayesDays. Nice event. The material for the tutorial in on github: https://github.com/Ullrika/TBDL2017

meetings/risk concept/teaching 0

Trusting expert judgments – seminar Oct 25th 2017

Welcome to a seminar on the book Trusting Judgments   The seminar was led by the participants and gently facilitated by Ullrika. We went go through the book chapter by chapter. It was a very useful and inspiring day. Thank you all for coming. The old Bishop house in Lund is an excellent place for smaller workshops. This is a … Continue reading

meetings/uncertainty 0

Gaming for better decision making – one winner at Climate-Kic Nordic Ideation Day

The project Gaming for better decision making was one of the winners at the Climate-Kic Nordic Ideation Day in Aarhus August 23 2017. Ullrika was there pitching it in front of a jury. Great day with a lot of positive feedback and useful connections. Gaming for better decisions under uncertainty is a project with the aim to develop a computer … Continue reading

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The 3rd Nordic Chapter Risk conference in Finland – Call for abstracts

The Nordic Chapter of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) invites abstracts to the 3rd conference which will be held at Aalto University, Espoo, Finland, November 2-3, 2017. (20 minutes’ bus trip from Helsinki). The theme of the conference “Risk and Security” highlights the role risk plays in relation to security. If you attend this conference you can listen to talks … Continue reading

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The Bayes@ concept

Bayes@: Approachable mini conferences on applied Bayesian statistics A Bayes@ mini-conference is a (more or less) local one day event bring together people working with or interested in Bayesian methods. Bayes@ events aims at being accessible to people with little experience of Bayesian methods while still being relevant to experienced practitioners. The focus is on how Bayesian methods are used … Continue reading

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Extreme events in the real world and in the mind

Last Friday April 28th I gave my docenture lecture for Environmental Science at Lund University. I talked about the importance of considering extreme and rare events in environmental management. It was fun. Thanks all for coming. My presentation is here Abstract: Have you ever missed a train or got stunned by a surprise you did not expect to happen? In … Continue reading

risk concept/risk research 0

Lundaloppet predictive challenge 2017

Forecasting with uncertainty Guess your time in Lundaloppet 2017 and express your uncertainty in your running time in which way you want! After the race on May 13th in Lund and the actual running times are known, we will evaluate the performances of all predictions. The results will be presented in June, where we will hand out several awards. Make … Continue reading

risk concept/UnEviL research group 0

The dawn of the new research group “UnEviL”

Uncertainty and Evidence Lab is the name of a new research group at Lund University. The group is led by Ullrika Sahlin at the Centre of Environmental and Climate Research. This research group focus on the management of uncertainty and evidence in risk analysis, evidence synthesis, decision analysis and, never the least, predictive sciences. This include discussing and applying principles … Continue reading

UnEviL research group 0

Bayes@Lund2017 20th April

The program for Bayes@Lund2017 is now ready Follow us at #bayeslund17 on twitter We have uploaded videos of some of the talks on YouTube. Unfortunately not all talks have been recorded because of technical issues. Richard McElreath — Bayesian Statistics without Frequentist Language: https://youtu.be/yakg94HyWdE Martin Stjernman — Joint species modelling. Beautiful in theory, tricky in practice: https://youtu.be/KL9iKx0UKco Shravan Vasishth — … Continue reading

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