Author Archives: host

The 3rd Nordic Chapter Risk conference in Finland – Call for abstracts

The Nordic Chapter of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) invites abstracts to the 3rd conference which will be held at Aalto University, Espoo, Finland, November 2-3, 2017. (20 minutes’ bus trip from Helsinki). The theme of the conference “Risk and Security” highlights the role risk plays in relation to security. See more on the conference web Submit your abstract before … Continue reading

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The Bayes@ concept

Bayes@: Approachable mini conferences on applied Bayesian statistics A Bayes@ mini-conference is a (more or less) local one day event bring together people working with or interested in Bayesian methods. Bayes@ events aims at being accessible to people with little experience of Bayesian methods while still being relevant to experienced practitioners. The focus is on how Bayesian methods are used … Continue reading

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Seminar Sept 19th

On Sept 19th 2017 between 15 and 17 the BECC action group: Evidence relying on simulation models and expert judgment is arranging a seminar in Lund on the theme Quantification and communication of uncertainty. More info will be posted here in due time. Contact: Ullrika Sahlin, CEC, LU Confirmed speakers: Wandi Bruine de Bruin, Professor, University Leadership Chair in Behavioural Decision … Continue reading

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Extreme events in the real world and in the mind

Last Friday April 28th I gave my docenture lecture for Environmental Science at Lund University. I talked about the importance of considering extreme and rare events in environmental management. It was fun. Thanks all for coming. My presentation is here Abstract: Have you ever missed a train or got stunned by a surprise you did not expect to happen? In … Continue reading

risk concept/risk research 0

Lundaloppet predictive challenge 2017

Forecasting with uncertainty Guess your time in Lundaloppet 2017 and express your uncertainty in your running time in which way you want! After the race on May 13th in Lund and the actual running times are known, we will evaluate the performances of all predictions. The results will be presented in June, where we will hand out several awards. Make … Continue reading

risk concept/UnEviL research group 0

The dawn of the new research group “UnEviL”

Uncertainty and Evidence Lab is the name of a new research group at Lund University. The group is led by Ullrika Sahlin at the Centre of Environmental and Climate Research. This research group focus on the management of uncertainty and evidence in risk analysis, evidence synthesis, decision analysis and, never the least, predictive sciences. This include discussing and applying principles … Continue reading

UnEviL research group 0

Bayes@Lund2017 20th April

The program for Bayes@Lund2017 is now ready Follow us at #bayeslund17 on twitter We have uploaded videos of some of the talks on YouTube. Unfortunately not all talks have been recorded because of technical issues. Richard McElreath — Bayesian Statistics without Frequentist Language: https://youtu.be/yakg94HyWdE Martin Stjernman — Joint species modelling. Beautiful in theory, tricky in practice: https://youtu.be/KL9iKx0UKco Shravan Vasishth — … Continue reading

meetings 0

Workshop on Bayesian Networks for risk assessment and decision making

We had a successful workshop on Bayesian Networks in risk assessment and decision making in Lund March 28 and 29th, 2017. This workshop was financed by the research school ClimBEco. Local organisers were Indrani Hazel Govender and Ullrika Sahlin. Tuesday March 28th Introduction to Bayesian Networks for risk and impact assessment to support decision making. This introduction was attended by 30 … Continue reading

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Studentprojekt: Tuggummin som en indikator för nedskräpning i urbana miljöer

Studenter sökes för ett projekt under våren 2017 Detta projekt går ut på att ta reda på hur förekomst av tuggummin förhåller sig till förekomst av skräp i urbana miljöer samt att undersöka i vilken takt nedskräpning sker på olika typer av platser i städer. Länkar till hur tuggumin uppmärksammas http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2844929/Chewing-gum-companies-help-pay-60million-bill-cleaning-mess-streets-say-councils.html Projektet innehåller en fältstudie där mängd och ålder på tuggumin … Continue reading

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Applications and future developments of Bayesian Networks in risk and impact assessments and environmental decision making

Open seminar and workshop When: Wednesday March 29th 2017. From 10 to 14, followed by discussions Where: The Blue Hall and the Red Room in the Ecology Building, Lund University, Sölvegatan 37, Lund, Sweden Scroll down to view the list of talks and links to presentations Background Bayesian Networks is a type of probabilistic modelling with wide applications in science and … Continue reading

meetings/risk research 0