Save the date! The fourth edition of Bayes@Lund will be held on 20 April 2017 in Lund, Sweden.

The purpose of this conference is to bring together researchers, practitioners and students working with or interested in Bayesian methods. Bayes@Lund aims at being accessible to those with little experience of Bayesian methods while still being relevant to experienced practitioners.

It will feature keynote lectures from Prof. Darren Wilkinson and Prof. Richard McElreath, in addition to a number of contributed talks. On the 19th April there will be a free introductory tutorial to Bayesian analysis.

The conference is free to attend and registration will open in February. For more information see the conference web page: http://www.maths.lu.se/bayeslund2017/

*** Call for Contributions ***

We’re looking for contributed talks and any topic related to Bayesian analysis is relevant including, but not restricted to:

* Case studies. Have you used Bayesian methods in your research? Describe what you did, and how it worked out.
* Methodology development. Are you developing novel Bayesian methods that you want to share?
* Tutorial style talks. Want to share your favorite tool or modeling technique? This does not have to be novel research, just a useful tool for research!
* Teaching Bayes. Do you have experiences teaching Bayesian methods. What were the challenges, and do you have any useful tips?

To contribute a talk please send a plain text email (no pdf attachments) with the title of your talk, authors names with affiliations, email addresses, and an abstract (not more than 150 words) to bayeslund2017@gmail.com.

As the audience will be highly heterogeneous, the talk is expected to be accessible and engaging for a multidisciplinary audience.

Deadline for abstracts submission is the 10th of February, 2017  (notification of acceptance sent by 15 February).

Each accepted speaker is given 20 minutes (plus 5 minutes for questions).

We’re looking forward to see you in Lund!

The organizers

Umberto Picchini and Ullrika Sahlin

This was a course funded by the research schools LUCID and ClimBeco. 26 students participated. We had two physical meetings. One in Lund and one in Gothenburg. The one in Gothenburg included a 1.5 day risk conference – the 2nd Nordic Chapter Risk meeting. We were a bit afraid that it would be too much, but on the contrary – we felt that the students got exposed to high quality keynotes and contributed talks, saw the width of risk research and actually made new connections. The small format of the risk conference (about 100 people) and friendly atmosphere made them feel welcomed.

Me and Åsa Knaggård decided to have this course since we had a similar one when we were PhD-students. Now, ten years later – it was time to pay back. We learnt a lot and hope that the students did too. It was excellent to have Daniel Slunge on the team to help us out in Gothenburg and using his network to get good lecturers.

~Ullrika

This year the ESREL conference in Glasgow decided to do a risk image competition. What a wonderful idea. Time to go creative.

The task was to illustrate risk. After several months of scratching my head I saw the deadline approaching too fast.

My children came to the rescue. My oldest son had built something in lego that with some slight imagination looked like the Eiffel tower. At the same time the middle son played the board game risk, which we all know has a lot of dices in it. I was cleaning my room and found a dusty mirror in a corner.

Bam – there it was. The image illustrating what it means to assess the probability of unique event – such as a terrorist attack or something which we just have not experienced before.

How do we assess the probability of a unique event? It is not repeatable. Sometimes we just have to believe – somehow. 

Did I win? Well, almost. I got in the final with a nice certificate to put on the wall.

Thanks Lesley Walls for arranging this stimulating competition

~Ullrika

Does this question appeals to you?

Do you want to apply Bayesian modelling for the purpose to quantify uncertainty and support decision making? Do you feel inspired reading texts about uncertainty? Can you tell a bee from a wasp? Do you want to do a PhD in an interdisciplinary environment?

Then perhaps our new PhD project on Robust analysis is something for you. Last day to apply is October 3rd 2016.

The Nordic chapter of SRA Europe invites members and non-members to a chapter meeting during the SRA conference in Bath, UK.

The meeting will take place in room CB 5.6 in the Chancellors Building on Tuesday 21st June at 12.30 – 1.30pm.

It will be possible to attend the meeting via skype. Send an email to Ullrika.Sahlin [at] cec.lu.se if you want to join.

Invitation as a pdf

Info about SRA-E:NORDIC

Agenda

1. Information about the SRA Nordic chapter

1.1. The purpose of SRA-E:NORDIC

1.2. Past activities

2. Information of planned activities

2.1. Invitation to submit abstract and session proposals to the 2^nd Nordic Chapter conference in Gothenburg Nov 2016

2.2. Planned courses in the Nordic/Baltic region (contributions are welcome)

2.3. Planned workshops in the Nordic/Baltic region (contributions are welcome)

3. Discussions and future activities

Shared risk issues, Suggestions for policy impact, research needs etc. (contributions are welcome)

Board members:

Ullrika Sahlin, Lund University, Sweden (President for two years  – starting from June 2015)

Marja Ylönen, Technical Research Centre of Finland, Finland (President elect – to take over in June 2017 and then be president for two years)

Stian Antonsen, SINTEF, Norway

Susanne Öhman, Mid Sweden University, Sweden

Igor Kozine, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark

Aistė Balžekienė, Kaunas University of Technology, Lithuania

Student representatives:

Ingibjörg Lilja, University of Iceland, Iceland

Björn Arvidsson, Lund University, Sweden

The Nordic-Baltic chapter of Society of Risk Analysis proudly presents the call for the second Nordic chapter meeting.

The theme of the conference is “Where are we and where are we going: New insights into risk analysis in the Nordic countries”

Deadline for submission of both individual presentations and symposia is Monday 29 August.

The conference brings together individuals and organisations interested in risk assessment, risk management and risk communication in Europe. The Society of Risk Analysis Europe: Nordic Chapter promotes specifically Nordic and Baltic issues in the field of risk, and aims to facilitate debate and exchanges of information and opinion between professionals in industry, government, universities, research institutes, and consultancies. It has the ambition to convene and promote scientific and educational meetings on risk research, risk analysis and risk management in the Nordic and Baltic countries.

Themes for presentations may include:

• risk communication and uncertainty
• environmental governance
• new technologies and innovation
• risk framing
• evidence-based policy making
• new perspectives on risk assessment
• risk and ethics
• organizing in the face of risk
• emerging risk issues in the Nordic and Baltic countries

The conference is hosted by Gothenburg Research Institute at the School of Business, Economics and Law at the University of Gothenburg.

The conference is sponsored by the Partner Program at the School of Business, Economics and Law at the University of Gothenburg.

Take the opportunity to arrange a session on a topic you think deserves to be in the spotlight or where you would like to engage in discussion and learn more.

A symposium is a topical session organized by two individuals who identifies the presenters for that session and their presentation titles, rather than relying on the conference organizers to assemble a topical session from individual abstracts.

A PhD-course on Risk is under development. The plan is to have it in Lund in October and in Gothenburg in association to the conference.

Sign up on the nordic chapter of sra newsletter to get information on what is going on.

^Ullrika