Extreme events in the real world and in the mind

My sister caught me in the act explaining different types of uncertainty

Last Friday April 28th I gave my docenture lecture for Environmental Science at Lund University. I talked about the importance of considering extreme and rare events in environmental management. It was fun. Thanks all for coming. My presentation is here

Abstract: Have you ever missed a train or got stunned by a surprise you did not expect to happen? In retrospect, could you have done something to prevent bad things from happening and still get the good bits? These questions are valid, not only for our daily decisions, but also for decisions on how to manage the natural environment for conservation, safety or sustainability. To help out, there are theories for considering the extreme, rare or unlikely in decision making, with applications to the management of environmental systems.

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