This year the ESREL conference in Glasgow decided to do a risk image competition. What a wonderful idea. Time to go creative.
The task was to illustrate risk. After several months of scratching my head I saw the deadline approaching too fast.
My children came to the rescue. My oldest son had built something in lego that with some slight imagination looked like the Eiffel tower. At the same time the middle son played the board game risk, which we all know has a lot of dices in it. I was cleaning my room and found a dusty mirror in a corner.
Bam – there it was. The image illustrating what it means to assess the probability of unique event – such as a terrorist attack or something which we just have not experienced before.
How do we assess the probability of a unique event? It is not repeatable. Sometimes we just have to believe – somehow.
Did I win? Well, almost. I got in the final with a nice certificate to put on the wall.
Thanks Lesley Walls for arranging this stimulating competition
~Ullrika