Robust analysis of uncertainty in scientific assessments
This was the topic of the mid-term seminar for PhD student Ivette Raices Cruz (PhD student in Environmental Science at Lund University) on May 26th.Abstract
Knowledge is always limited, and therefore is honest to communicate uncertainty when presenting scientific conclusions in scientific assessments. In her PhD project, Ivette Raices Cruz is studying the possibility to use robust Bayesian analysis to treat uncertainty in scientific assessments. Both Bayesian and Robust Bayesian analysis are useful to quantity uncertainty when making inference from data and experts. Ivette work is a contribution to evidence synthesis and quantitative risk assessment, by developing the methodology for Robust Bayesian analysis, and applying and comparing different ways to quantify uncertainty on existing assessment.
What happened
Ivette started with an overview of her PhD project. After that the midterm opponent, Jukka Ranta, from University of Helsinki and Finnish Food Authority, asked questions and made reflections on the topic. The seminar was on zoom and as you can see, Ivette kept the distance.
Department representative is Pål Axel Ohlsson, Department of Biology
Main supervisor is Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research