Category Archives: risk concept

Quantifying uncertainty integrating expert judgement and data – tutorial

Ullrika travelled all the way to Liverpool to give a tutorial at the BayesDays. Nice event. The material for the tutorial in on github:

meetings/risk concept/teaching 0

Extreme events in the real world and in the mind

Last Friday April 28th I gave my docenture lecture for Environmental Science at Lund University. I talked about the importance of considering extreme and rare events in environmental management. It was fun. Thanks all for coming. My presentation is here Abstract: Have you ever missed a train or got stunned by a surprise you did not expect to happen? In … Continue reading

risk concept/risk research 0

Lundaloppet predictive challenge 2017

Forecasting with uncertainty Guess your time in Lundaloppet 2017 and express your uncertainty in your running time in which way you want! After the race on May 13th in Lund and the actual running times are known, we will evaluate the performances of all predictions. The results will be presented in June, where we will hand out several awards. Make … Continue reading

risk concept/UnEviL research group 0

EFSAs treatment of uncertainty under trial

The way uncertainty is treated in risk assessment is under scrutiny. There is a need for this since we today face more complex problems and need to take into account possible risks for which knowledge is weak. One example is the ongoing work in the EU on how we treat uncertainty in environmental and health risk assessments. In March 2016 … Continue reading

info/risk concept/risk research/Uncategorized 0

It is time to reconsider how we think about risk

Risk is something that concerns us all. Risk has become an integrated part of decision making and it is acknowledged that decisions should be informed by risks. This means that a decision maker may take other things than risk into account. Even though society efficiently are managing risks, we are now more often facing risks that are new, tricky or complex. New global challenges … Continue reading

risk concept/risk research 0