Treating risk with high uncertainty occurs at many levels of political decision making. What do researchers and risk assessors say about how to understand and treat uncertain risks? Is there a way to take better responsibility for treating uncertainty at political decision making?
Within the advanced study group on calculating and communicating uncertainty supported by the Pufendorf Institute in Lund we wanted to reach out to those making decisions. This subject is huge and impossible to cover in one evening, but why not give it a try.
On April 28th we open the doors to Pufendorf for an informal discussion. The invitation with more information is available here.
Ullrika Sahlin will start saying some words about the quantification of uncertainty. She will bring up the use of probability as a measure of uncertainty and the wonder of statistical principles at a simple level. She will give some examples of guidelines for risk assessors. After that Åsa Knaggård will talk about uncertainty and decision making from a political science point of view. We have the pleasure to be hosted by Prof Ragnar Löfstedt. He will (in swedish) talk about uncertainty and transparency. This is a very exiting topic and you will hear examples directly from the field of political decision making. We seek a simple and informal forum to discuss and create new connections.