First week completed of the summer school Bayesian Analysis and Decision Theory

The summer school in Bayesian Analysis and Decision Theory at Lund University 2015 has now completed its physical week. Students are now working on their individual projects and we expect a thrilling web conference at late September.

Happy participants at the end of the physical week of the BADT summer school

Happy participants at the end of the physical week of the BADT summer school











All lectures and exercises were held in the Maths Building at Lund University. We got the opportunity to write on two walls of black boards using old fashioned chalks.

The Maths Building at Lund University is easy to find when you know what to look for.

The Maths Building at Lund University is easy to find when you know what to look for.

Monday 17th

10.15 – 10.45 Course introduction by Ullrika Sahlin

10.45 – 14.00 Introduction to Bayesian Analysis by Johan Lindström

Johan in action.

Johan in action.

14.15 – 17.00 Bayesian Belief Networks I by Ullrika Sahlin

At the evening we had a welcome Pizza night at the Centre of Environmental and Climate Research at the Ecology Building including a quite geeky Bayesian Pub Quiz.

Tuesday 18th

8.30 – 10.30 Introduction to Decision Theory by Matthias Troffaes

Matthias explaining basic decision theory.

Matthias explaining basic decision theory.

10.45 – 15.00 Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling I by Johan Lindström and Yann Clough

15.15 – 17.00 Probability, values and cautionary principles by Niklas Vareman

Wednesday 19th

8.30 – 10.30 Bayesian Belief Networks II by Ullrika Sahlin

Roger and the students giving their undevoted attention to Ullrikas lecture about the difference between a Bayesian Belief Network and a Bayesian Hierarchical Model.

Roger and the students giving their undevoted attention to Ullrikas lecture about the difference between a Bayesian Belief Network and a Bayesian Hierarchical Model.

10.45 – 15.00 Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling II by Johan Lindström, Yann Clough and Ullrika Sahlin

Yann the front demonstrating how to run a Bayesian model in jags.

Yann the front demonstrating how to run a Bayesian model in jags.

 

15.15 – 17.00 Uncertainty in quantitative risk assessment I by Roger Flage

At the evening we went to the Malmö City Festival.

Thursday 20th

8.30 – 11.00 Robust Bayesian Analysis by Matthias Troffaes and Ullrika Sahlin

11.15 – 14.00 Introduction and preparation of project ideas and the literature seminar

14.15 – 15.00 Uncertainty in quantitative risk assessment II by Roger Flage

15.15 – 17.00 Literature seminar by Niklas Vareman

Franziska, Björn and   Zhunzhang presenting a paper by Jan Sprenger.

Franziska, Björn and Zhunzhang presenting a paper by Jan Sprenger.

 

 

Rafael, Mohamed and Angela talking about innovation and precaution by Todt and Lujan.

Rafael, Mohamed and Angela talking about innovation and precaution by Todt and Lujan.

Anan and Minchaou presenting the decision theory under unreliable knowledge after Gärdenfors and Sahlin.

Anan and Minchaou presenting the decision theory under unreliable knowledge after Gärdenfors and Sahlin.

Sana, Sam and Jo talking about different views on the precautionary principle by Peterson.

Sana, Sam and Jo talking about different views on the precautionary principle by Peterson.

 

Rasmus Bååth was there enriching the discussion with a view on Bayesianism.

Rasmus Bååth was there enriching the discussion with a view on Bayesianism.

At the evening some of us went to the city of Lund for some food and beer.

Friday 21st

9.00  Presentation and feedback on projects ideas

Lunch at Ullrika’s favourite place at Finn Ut.

 

It was a great idea to combine BA with DT!

Now time for projects….

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